Imagine you're on a game show. There are three doors. Behind one, a car; behind the others, goats. You pick door #1. The host, who knows where the car is, opens door #3 to reveal a goat. He then asks if you want to switch your choice to door #2. Do you switch? Most people don't, but you double your odds if you do. Our intuition about probability is wild.
Imagine you're on a game show. There are three doors. Behind one, a car; behind the others, goats. You pick door #1. The host, who knows where the car is, opens door #3 to reveal a goat. He then asks if you want to switch your choice to door #2. Do you switch? Most people don't, but you double your odds if you do. Our intuition about probability is wild.
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