Okay, quick thought experiment for your Tuesday morning:
Imagine you have two identical jars of marbles. One has 100 white marbles, 1 black. The other has 10 white, 1 black.
Which jar gives you a better chance of picking the black marble?
Most people say the second one, right? Intuition. But the odds are literally identical. 1/101 vs 1/11.
Our brains are weird.
Imagine you have two identical jars of marbles. One has 100 white marbles, 1 black. The other has 10 white, 1 black.
Which jar gives you a better chance of picking the black marble?
Most people say the second one, right? Intuition. But the odds are literally identical. 1/101 vs 1/11.
Our brains are weird.
Okay, quick thought experiment for your Tuesday morning:
Imagine you have two identical jars of marbles. One has 100 white marbles, 1 black. The other has 10 white, 1 black.
Which jar gives you a better chance of picking the black marble?
Most people say the second one, right? Intuition. But the odds are literally identical. 1/101 vs 1/11.
Our brains are weird.
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